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Liang Zhonghua of Haitong Securities: The general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 has been determined, and the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Liang Zhonghua, chief macro analyst of Haitong Securities, said that judging from the statement of the meeting, the general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 is certain. Among them, "supernormal countercyclical adjustment" was put forward for the first time. Liang Zhonghua analyzed that "supernormal adjustment" may be different from QE (quantitative easing) in western countries, but refers to a traditional tool that has grown steadily in the past few years, making a breakthrough on the margin and playing the role of "keeping innovation" and "enriching and perfecting the policy toolbox". Judging from the policies that have been issued since September, this round of steady growth is a steady growth under the framework of "high quality". The high-quality framework will not change, and there will be no strong stimulation of flood irrigation. The meeting proposed to "implement a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy". Liang Zhonghua believes that next year's finance is expected to make further marginal efforts. It is expected that deficit ratio may improve. At present, 3.5%-4.0% is more likely, and the scale of special bonds may be marginally increased. Special government bonds supporting "duality" and "two innovations" will continue to be issued or increased. In addition, the debt-melting policy launched in November will also be the financial focus next year, and it is expected that special government bonds may be issued to supplement bank capital. In addition, the gradual interest rate cut will continue next year, and the structural monetary policy will continue to exert its strength. The meeting stressed that "it is necessary to vigorously boost consumption, improve investment efficiency, and expand domestic demand in all directions." In this regard, Liang Zhonghua believes that compared with Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party's statement of "expanding domestic demand with the focus on boosting consumption" in July, this meeting pays more attention to expanding domestic demand, and its support is expected to be further increased in the future. Since the beginning of this year, with the extra-long special national debt funds in place, the consumption of consumer goods trade-in policy has gradually emerged. There is still room for further efforts to expand domestic demand policies such as replacing old consumer goods with new ones next year. Liang Zhonghua also mentioned that this meeting clearly put forward "stabilizing the property market and stock market", which shows that the policy pays high attention to the property market and stock market. As an important signal to pay attention to the economy and expectations, the policies of the property market and stock market are also positive.Google CEO said that its newly released quantum computing chip can complete supercomputing in five minutes. On its newly released quantum computing chip Willow, Google CEO Sundar Pichai said that Willow is an important step to build a useful quantum computer. It has practical applications in drug discovery, fusion energy, battery design and other fields. Its breakthrough can reduce errors exponentially when we use more qubits, and solve the 30-year challenge in this field. In the benchmark test, Willow completed a "standard benchmark calculation" in less than five minutes, and even the fastest supercomputer today takes "10 to the 25th power" years to complete this calculation-this figure is far beyond the age of the universe.Notice: The National Health and Wellness Commission held a press conference on December 10th to introduce the situation of "learning and popularizing Sanming's medical reform experience".

The net outflow of the main market exceeded 10 billion.AI application-side concept stocks have been repeatedly sought after by Shensi Electronics with a daily limit of 20CM, and Shensi Electronics with a daily limit of 20CM. Before that, Tianyue Digital Branch went out of 7 days and 5 boards, which was worth buying, cool and smart, Huayang Lianzhong, Tuoersi, Yuncong Technology and Fushi Holdings all rose by more than 5%.Zelensky said it was "meaningless" to discuss Ukraine's NATO membership with Trump, and Musk responded with an expression. According to "Russia Today" (RT), American entrepreneur elon musk responded with an expression to a post on social media platform X on the 9th that Ukrainian President Zelensky said it was "meaningless" to discuss Ukraine's NATO membership with US President-elect Trump. RT said that the post that triggered Musk's reply wrote, "Zelensky: I will ask Biden (the current president of the United States) to invite me (Ukraine) to join NATO ... It is meaningless to talk to Trump (the president-elect of the United States)." The post was accompanied by a video of Zelensky's remarks. RT mentioned that Musk forwarded this post on social media platform X on the 9th, and responded with an expression of "provoking eyebrows". RT said that this expression represents "doubt, doubt, disapproval, surprise and confusion". Zelensky was quoted as saying that Trump has not yet entered the White House, so what he said now is not enough. (World Wide Web)

In the first 11 months, China's foreign trade in goods reached a steady growth of 39.79 trillion yuan. The General Administration of Customs announced on the 10th that in the first 11 months of this year, the total import and export value of China's goods trade reached 39.79 trillion yuan, up 4.9% year-on-year, achieving steady growth. Among them, the export was 23.04 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.7%; Imports reached 16.75 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.4%.In November, China's dollar-denominated exports increased by 6.7% year-on-year, while imports decreased by 3.9%.Huang Wentao, China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd.: Policy strength and tools are expected to achieve new breakthroughs. the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, said in the latest interpretation that the meeting first mentioned "strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment", and the policy framework is expected to get rid of the mindset and achieve new breakthroughs in strength and tools. Huang Wentao mentioned that the "unconventional" policy will be mainly reflected in the breakthrough of the original conventional policy model, including: First, the breakthrough of monetary policy from "steady" to "moderately loose", and the transformation from the traditional model to the modern central bank system in the transmission system. Second, it is expected that the fiscal deficit constraint of 3% will be greatly exceeded, and the mode of financial development may also be optimized in the past, with more inclination to the residential sector. Third, in stabilizing the capital market, more powerful and effective measures are introduced to prevent excessive market volatility. "The stocks and debts are expected to continue." Huang Wentao pointed out that the unconventional countercyclical adjustment policy not only provides sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provides strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provides sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.